General Election polls: The four London Tories under threat as polls surge

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At the start of May, five Labour marginals looked at risk. Now four Tories appear to be.

Gavin Barwell, the minister for London nursing the capital’s smallest majority (165) in Croydon Central, is most threatened.

In Kingston & Surbiton, James Berry (2,834) is in a knife-edge battle with Lib-Dem rival Sir Ed Davey.

Other fights too close to call are in Hendon, where Matthew Offord has a majority of 3,724 over Labour, and Twickenham, where Tania Mathias beat Sir Vince Cable by 2,017 votes in 2015.

Kingston and Surbiton: Tory James Berry has a majority of 2,834 and is being challenged by Lib Dem Sir Ed Davey (Steve Parsons/PA )
Steve Parsons/PA
Hendon: Matthew Offord faces a challenge from Labour's Mike Katz. His majority is 3,724
Nigel Howard

But in Carshalton & Wallington, Lib Dem Tom Brake is under threat from the Tories.

Twickenham: Tania Mathias faces a challenge from Lib Dem Sir Vince Cable, and has a 2,017 majority
Alex Lentati

Breathing easier are Labour’s Wes Streeting (Ilford North), Rupa Huq (Ealing Central & Acton), Ruth Cadbury (Brentford & Isleworth), Joan Ryan (Enfield North) and Tulip Siddiq (Hampstead & Kilburn).

Under threat: Croydon Central MP Gavin Barwell who has a majority of just 165 and is being challenged by Labour's Sarah Jones
Lucy Young

But these are estimates, based on YouGov polling and private intelligence, all crunched with UK-Elect software.

General Election 2017 Campaign - In pictures

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