General Election fact watch: Is immigration really coming down?

Immigration claim: Home Secretary Amber Rudd
Getty Images
12 May 2017
WEST END FINAL

Get our award-winning daily news email featuring exclusive stories, opinion and expert analysis

I would like to be emailed about offers, event and updates from Evening Standard. Read our privacy notice.

Claim: Immigration is coming down.

Key quote: “We need to continue to bring immigration down.” Amber Rudd, 7 May 2017

Analysis: Latest estimates show immigration at around 596,000 for the year ending September 2016. That’s the lowest recorded level since 2014, but still high by historic standards.

Net migration (the difference between the number of people leaving the UK to live elsewhere and the number arriving to live here) was estimated at around 273,000 for the same period - down from an estimated peak of 336,000 in the year to June 2015.

Further back, the picture is less clear. The figures between 2001 and 2011 are known to have underestimated the number of arrivals.

The figures we do have suggest net migration was around 244,000 in the 12 months to June 2010,. It’s higher now due to an increase in the number of people coming to live in the UK and a decrease in the number departing.

Because EU nationals have the right to come and live and work in the UK past policies have aimed to reduce immigration from outside the EU. But the Migration Observatory from the University of Oxford says that “the measures introduced to reduce non-EU net migration have not succeeded in reducing it significantly”.

The Migration Observatory has suggested that even if immigration from the EU to the UK was significantly reduced following Brexit, it is still likely to be far above the “tens of thousands” target.

Verdict: Immigration is currently estimated at 596,000 for the year ending September 2016, which is the lowest recorded level since 2014. Today’s figures are still at historically high levels.

Create a FREE account to continue reading

eros

Registration is a free and easy way to support our journalism.

Join our community where you can: comment on stories; sign up to newsletters; enter competitions and access content on our app.

Your email address

Must be at least 6 characters, include an upper and lower case character and a number

You must be at least 18 years old to create an account

* Required fields

Already have an account? SIGN IN

By clicking Create Account you confirm that your data has been entered correctly and you have read and agree to our Terms of use , Cookie policy and Privacy policy .

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

Thank you for registering

Please refresh the page or navigate to another page on the site to be automatically logged in