China: calm after the storm

11 April 2012

China's breakneck growth slowed slightly between April and June but experts warned today of more interest rate hikes on the way as Beijing bids to get a grip on inflation.

The world's second biggest economy grew at an annual pace of 9.5% in the second quarter - slightly down on the 9.7% seen between January and March. This still surpassed expectations and easily eclipsed western economies.

The figures fuelled hopes of a "soft landing" for China's economy and helped to calm markets after a febrile start to the week amid fresh concerns over Europe's sovereign debt crisis.

But the cost of living has just hit a three-year high of 6.4% in China and economists are bracing themselves for more rate rises.

Tim Ohlenburg, economist with the Centre for Economics and Business Research, said: "This is only a mild slowdown from the first quarter, which shows that further monetary tightening will be needed to slow output growth to a level consistent with greater price stability."

Barclays Capital economist Jian Chang warned: "There are uncertainties. The US recovery is slowing and Europe is going to post weaker growth."

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